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№ 1(91) 26 february 2021 year
Rubric: Performance management
Authors: Stoyanova O. V., Moskaleva V.

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This paper presents a method and a model framework for R&D changes planning in manufacturing enterprises, implementing digital transformation projects. The relevance of development of such method is evident because of growing number of factors, influencing the decision-making process and simultaneously the complexity of such influence estimation increases. Classical changes planning methods in such cases do not ensure required level of estimation objectivity and credibility. The objects of research are industrial enterprises, actively engaged in research, design and engineering. The subject of research are methods and models for R&D process changes planning in context of digital transformation endeavors, being implemented in the companies. The research objective is to develop a R&D process planning method, enabling to account for corporate changes, related to digital transformation processes. The proposed method is based on the analysis of the discrepancies between the actual enterprise architecture and the target one and search for possible solution to rectify these discrepancies. For quantitative estimation of the changes, an integral indicator "stakeholder satisfaction level" is proposed. This indicator is calculated using a set of models (a model framework), those preparation and application sequence is defined by the considered method. The paper describes the concept of the method, the problems, being solved within each stage, tools used and final outcomes. The example of planning R&D changes in manufacturing enterprise illustrates the method in work and provides for better understanding of the concepts, presented in the paper. Continue...
№ 1(91) 26 february 2021 year
Rubric: Models and methods
Authors: Chernova G., Halin V., Kalayda S., Yurkov A.

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Economic convergence and digitalization are the most important trends of the modern community development. It is their interaction that creates new opportunities for the improvement of competitive capability and performance in the framework of joint business conducted by representatives of the wide variety of segments and sectors of economy. In response to digitalization, an ecosystem becomes the main institutional and organizational form of business in the framework of inter-sectoral economic convergence. The purpose of this article is to define more exactly the concept of an ecosystem as a form of doing joint business in the environment of inter-sectoral economic convergence and digitalization, and to build a classification of ecosystems. The following hypothesis is put forward in the study: an ecosystem as an institutional and organizational form of doing joint business is the result of the concurrent impact of inter-sectoral economic convergence and digitalization thereon, and the "connection of the base product provided to customer by the inter-sectoral economic convergence initiator prior to creating an ecosystem with digital and/or information technology" may be a criterion for classification of economic ecosystems. The novelty of the approach is as follows. The consideration of an ecosystem as a form of doing joint business simultaneously influenced by economic inter- sectoral convergence and digitalization has made it possible to define more exactly the concept of an ecosystem, identify an ecosystem parameter to be applied for classification of ecosystems and the main characteristic thereof the values of which may be used to classify economic ecosystems. Continue...
№ 1(91) 26 february 2021 year
Rubric: Models and methods
The author: Vygodchikova I.

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Article provides automated processing of interval data on dynamics life expectancy in Russians over a long period of time (more than 100 years). Software product for approximation of dynamic processes in the demographic sphere that occur under unstable trend conditions is developed. Software product is based at the author's model of spline approximation the interval data by linear polynomials. The algorithm of program uses method for finding the moments of joining linear splines using reasonable properties of solving minimax problem for dynamic series whose values are interval data: the lower limit of the interval is fixed life expectancy of men, the upper limit is fixed life expectancy of women. As result of computational experiments, the jump-type curve approximation obtained. The jump-type curve preserves important properties of modeled series and has good approximation properties. The special feature of developed software product is the ability to get an approximating function in a matter of seconds, which has high accuracy and allows you to analyze profile of demographic situation in Russia, taking into account life expectancy of men and women over a long period. Were identified key turning points (mid 20th century and beginning of 21st century, when there was decline in life expectancy of men and his essential distance from a more stable indicator for women), after which dynamics of indicators have shown an increasing trend of both indices and reducing the gap between them. Continue...
№ 1(91) 26 february 2021 year
Rubric: Models and methods
Authors: Loginova L. N., Shash A.

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In the conditions of fierce competition, satisfaction of all customer needs provides a trading enterprise with a sustainable competitive advantage. With the traditional structure of the assortment, there is a decrease in both the potential and real level of profit, the loss of competitive positions in promising markets, and, therefore, there is a decrease in the stability of the enterprise. The development of an analysis system to determine the specifics of the product range, optimize the range, and adapt it to the conditions of the Russian market is undoubtedly an urgent task. This article provides an overview of trade and IT companies that use data mining technologies. The survey showed that many companies are using data mining technology to improve customer service, turnover and sales in stores. In this regard, the management of Familia decided to develop its own software that will combine the analysis of turnover and sales in the company's stores in order to increase sales and improve the placement of goods in stores so that the client buys the necessary things, increasing the company's profit. The paper shows the possibility of combining several data mining methods in one system; shows the results of the analysis system and shows the effectiveness of the developed analysis system at Familia. The uniqueness of the developed software is the combination of data mining algorithms into one software product. The developed analysis system, based on the joint work of two data mining algorithms K-means and Apriori, allows you to manage the range of trade enterprises, reducing company losses. Continue...
№ 1(91) 26 february 2021 year
Rubric: Processes and systems modeling
The author: Perevaryukha A.

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We have proposed a method for constructing dynamically redefined structures for the purpose of modeling abrupt changes in biological processes. The method provides for the analysis of scenarios with a control action, which is aimed at optimizing the profit from the exploitation of biological resources. The situations are described by three differential equations, which are numerically solved on adjacent time intervals. The state of the predicate set controls the selection of dynamically overridden coefficients. We carry out comparisons of all predicates on the basis of averaged individual indicators of generations. Threshold states in the dynamics of population size are a consequence of the selection of events as special nonequilibrium states that change the regulation algorithm. Our method makes it possible to implement dangerous qualitative changes in the scenarios of biological resource management, when the stable modes of their existence are suddenly lost. For practical problems, we have algorithmically implemented computational scenarios for two different processes such as the collapse of fish stocks under expert control of the fishery and a rapid outbreak of pests. The situation of the collapse of the fish population in the scenario with control develops in two stages and is a consequence of the experts 'desire to optimize the operation with uncertainty in an expert’s assessment of a state of a fishery. To confirm the relevance of our models, comparisons are made with the graphs of the development of the two real processes, as the spontaneous population explosion and the stock crisis during optimization of the sea cod fishery. Continue...
№ 1(91) 26 february 2021 year
Rubric: Processes and systems modeling
The author: Gavrishev A.

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The relevance of the topic considered in the article is to solve the problems of designing management decision support systems for enterprises based on business analytics technology. The research purpose is to analyze the applied methodologies during the design stage of the enterprise information system, to develop principles for using management decision support systems based on business intelligence. The problem statement is to analyze the technologies available on the market, which deal with business analyst systems, their potential use for decision support systems, and to identify the main stages of business analyst for enterprises. Business intelligence (BI) is information that can be obtained from data contained in the operational systems of a firm, enterprise, corporation, or from external sources. The BI can help the management of a company make the best decision in the chosen sphere of human activity faster, and, consequently, win the competition in the market for goods and services. A decision support system (DSS) which uses business intelligence, is an automated structure designed to assist professionals in making decisions in a complex environment and to objectively analyze a subject area. The decision support system is the result of the integration of management information systems and database management systems (DBMS). The internal development of BI is more cost-effective. The methods used are Structured Analysis and Design Technique and Object-oriented methods. The results of the research: the analysis of the possibilities was conducted and recommendations relating to the use of BI within DSS were given. Competition between BI software in business analysts reduces the cost of products created making them accessible to end-users – producers, traders and corporations. Continue...