Degree
|
Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Information Technology in Economics and Management Department, Branch of the National Research University “MPEI” in Smolensk |
---|---|
E-mail
|
kirillova.el.al@yandex.ru |
Location
|
Smolensk, Russia |
Articles
|
Intelligent control algorithm for autonomous integrated power plants for Arctic regionsThe article considers the information and technical aspects of an innovative autonomous integrated power plant management, including alternative energy sources and a diesel generator set, as well as controlled inverters that provide energy supply to consumers of various priority categories, which can be used in the Arctic regions of the Russian Federation. The main aspects of creating innovative systems are considered and it is determined that the creation of integrated energy systems requires a significant deepening of cooperation between national producers in order to ensure the scalability of integrated energy systems by ensuring the unity of information means of data exchange between individual modules and the control system. It is shown that a specific requirement for control systems of complex power plants is the requirement of high autonomy, including the ability to provide consumers with electricity under variable environmental conditions without direct intervention of operational personnel. The article substantiates the division of the information and algorithmic support of the control system of a complex power plant into two modules – analytical and control. For the analytical module, an algorithm is proposed that ensures the development of control solutions in a complex energy system, ensuring the stability of energy supply to the most important consumers. At the same time, the algorithm provides an increase in the reliability of the energy storage device based on Li-Ion batteries used in the system not only by eliminating excessive charge and deep discharge, but also by reducing the number of charge/discharge cycles. The solution of system autonomy problem is provided by a multivariate algorithm for predicting weather conditions using statistical data and methods for analyzing fuzzy time series. The intelligent control algorithm was implemented in C++, the weather forecasting algorithms were implemented in Python using the ANFIS library. Read more... Neural network model to support decision-making on managing cooperative relations in innovative ecosystemsCurrently, the specifics of external conditions and peculiarities of innovation activity main subjects development determine not only the need for close, long-term scientific and technical cooperation with the state for the sustainable development of territories, but also the need to develop and substantiate proposals for managing the development of innovation processes in such a system as a whole. The article proposes a model for the representation of scientific and industrial interaction in the implementation of regional innovation processes in the form of a three-dimensional "slice" of the triple helix as a resource VRIO-profile of cooperative formation, which allows to clearly demonstrate the system of relations, identify in which direction the problem area is, influencing which it will be possible to return the system to an equilibrium state of sustainable development in a strategic perspective. The analysis of modern scientific works shows the relevance, necessity and effectiveness of using methods based on neural networks to predict changes in the state of complex socio-economic systems, such as regional innovation systems. Existing approaches, as a rule, demonstrate a narrow focus and belonging to a separate enterprise or organization, and therefore do not meet all the requirements from both the implementation of the innovation process itself and the modification of the external environment. In this connection, the authors proposed an information and analytical solution for using the described model to support decision-making on the management of cooperative formations. The developed program is based on predicting the future state (position in a three-dimensional coordinate system) of the system using deep neural networks, namely recurrent. The described practical approbation of the model can in the future serve as a basis for decision-making on the choice of forms and directions of interaction of cooperative formations in the strategic perspective. Read more... Digital technologies in science and education (achievements, trends and effects)The current period of technological progress is characterized by a significant penetration of digital technologies into all spheres of life and society. At the moment, a fairly extensive material has been accumulated with the results of research aimed at recognizing the effects, mostly implicit or weakly exposed, which are inherent in digital technologies, as well as to disclose the mechanisms producing them. However, work in which the task of creating a holistic representation would be solved, reflecting the most important effects in their entire entirety, have not yet been published. The article attempted to analyze all the main features of the application of such technologies in an academic environment, closely related to information processes and where the introduction of digital technologies is especially active. In order to summarize theoretically and practically proven strengths of digital technologies, to identify the most successful applications built on their base, to identify negative manifestations and effective steps taken to neutralize threats, a fairly representative set of research results on identifying individual factors and the study of the effects due to them, specific for digital technologies for a certain applied orientation. Based on the basic concepts, taking into account the experience of the implementation of organizational and administrative measures, focused on achieving the most positive effect of the introduction of digital technologies and elimination of sources of undesirable consequences, a set of key objects of comprehensive analysis is proposed, which should precede decision-making to integrate technologies into the practical activities of the academic structures and serve as the basis for the formation of general policy and strategic plan. Read more... Neuro-fuzzy model of resource provision of innovative activity of an industrial enterpriseA neuro-fuzzy model of resource provision of innovative activity of an industrial enterprise is proposed. The model implements a two-stage procedure for describing and managing innovative activity of an industrial enterprise: at the first stage, interaction resources are classified based on the supplemented VRIO analysis of the interaction profile; at the second stage, an innovative activity strategy is selected. The neuro-fuzzy model of resource provision is based on stacking of private machine learning models, such as the k-nearest neighbors method, random forest, and multilayer perceptron. The classification results of private models are combined using a trained tree of fuzzy inference systems that performs the final classification, which ensures an increase in its accuracy compared to individual private models. A distinctive feature of the model is the use of a fuzzy logical inference system to assess the probability of resource availability used in planning the need for it, which allows taking into account expert judgments as input data. Testing of the neuro-fuzzy model, carried out in the MatLab software system using the example of solving the problem of assessing the resource provision of an innovation process during the interaction of a regional instrument-making enterprise with one of the counterparties, demonstrated the model’s performance and high accuracy of classifying the resources of innovative interaction. Read more... |