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№ 4(100) 31 august 2022 year
Rubric: Performance management
Authors: Zaboev М., Chernova G., Halin V., Yurkov A.

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For a comprehensive assessment of the management decisions quality, it is necessary to take into account heterogeneous information presented both in numerical form and in natural language expressions. The effective occurs the use of data mining including neural network clustering and fuzzy set theory. The article presents our approach to the use of these methods for evaluating risks and the management decisions quality in Russian higher education on the example of the implementation of the most ambitious Project 5-100 for it. On the example, the expediency of the neural network clustering to assess the possibility of achieving the goals of any such large-scale project has been proved. Clustering the information database used for the analysis, makes it possible to carry out an objective selection of candidate universities-candidates for the right to receive state subsidies, as well as to adjust the composition of the Project participants. Another methods of intellectual analysis – the construction of a complex of fuzzy inference systems, – confirmed the possibility of a quantitative fi evaluating of the project based on the expert verbal estimates of the project. At the same time, the neural network clustering initially illustrated the unattainability of the Project 5-100 goals. The use of a complex of fuzzy inference systems confirmed this statement by the very low quantitative final assessment of the project on the basis of verbal expert opinions. Continue...
№ 4(100) 31 august 2022 year
Rubric: Models and methods
Authors: Rybina G., Stepankov V.

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The possibilities of a multi-agent approach for managing urban parking space are considered, which allows you to adequately represent the parking space and effectively solve the following tasks: monitoring congestion, searching and booking available parking spaces; building routes and navigation to selected places; parking; payment for parking services; monitoring compliance with parking rules; control and access control in closed parking lots (equipped with entrance and exit terminals and barriers); forecasting the main parameters, such as workload, income, turnover; informing users. The necessity of intellectualization of urban parking space management processes based on the use of methods and technologies of multi- agent systems (MAS), the main objectives of which are to: reduce the search time for parking spaces; increase the speed of traffic in paid parking areas; increase the turnover of parking spaces; reduce traffic congestion, fuel costs; reduce the number of parking violations on the road network; reducing the flow of personal vehicles entering the toll zone and stimulating the use of urban public transport; reducing environmental pollution. The greatest difficulty is the tasks of organizing the interaction of agents of various typologies in the collective solution of tasks, since each agent solving a specific task has only a partial idea of the overall task and must constantly interact with other agents. The features of prototyping MAS with an emphasis on modeling the interaction of certain types of intelligent agents in the problem area under study are presented. The obtained simulation results are the basis for the continuation and further development of research and development to create the final prototype of a MAS for urban parking space management. Continue...
№ 4(100) 31 august 2022 year
Rubric: Models and methods
Authors: Trubin A., Korepanova V., Morozov A., Ozheredov V., Zubanova A.

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In the field of machine learning, there is no single methodology for data preprocessing, since all stages of this process are unique for a specific task. However, a specific data type is used in each direction. The research hypothesis assumes that it is possible to clearly structure the sequences and phases of data preparation for text recognition tasks. The article discusses the basic principles of data preprocessing and the allocation of successive stages as a specific technique for the task of recognizing ABC characters. ETL set images were selected as the source data. Preprocessing included the stages of working with images, at each of which changes were made to the source data. The first step was cropping, which allowed to get rid of unnecessary information in the image. Next, the approach of converting the image to the original aspect ratio was considered and the method of converting from shades of gray to black and white format was determined. At the next stage, the character lines were artificially expanded for better recognition of printed alphabets. At the last stage of data preprocessing, augmentation was performed, which made it possible to better recognize ABC characters regardless of their position in space. As a result, the general structure of the data preprocessing methodology for text recognition tasks was built. Continue...
№ 4(100) 31 august 2022 year
Rubric: Algorithmic efficiency
Authors: Golubev S., Afanasiev A., Kuritsyn A.

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Currently, artificial intelligence is widely used in the formation of social, economic and environmental forecasts. When creating artificial intelligence, machine learning technologies, deep learning technology and searching for patterns in information arrays (Big Data), artificial language processing and generation technologies, etc. are widely used. At the same time, the issue of using artificial intelligence in scientific and technological forecasting has not been worked out enough. The purpose of the study was to find effective approaches to the use of artificial intelligence technologies in the formation of scientific and technological forecasts. The objective of the study was to identify artificial intelligence technologies that can be used at various stages of the life cycle of scientific and technological forecasting and to specify individual ways of using them to solve problems of predicting the level of development of science, engineering and technology compared to the world. This confirms the relevance of the study. The main research method is the analysis of domestic and foreign publications and best practices for using artificial intelligence technologies in scientific and technological forecasting, as well as the results of research work performed by the authors in the field of scientific and technological forecasting and adapting them to improve the formation of forecasts in the context of digital transformation of the economy and enterprises The authors considered the structure of artificial functions performed by technologies and identified priority areas for the use of artificial intelligence at various stages of scientific and technological forecasting. The expediency and features of the use of semantic analysis and cognitive technologies in predicting the level of readiness of equipment and technologies in comparison with the world under various scenario conditions are shown, which provides the greatest efficiency of the adopted solution. The issues of information and analytical support for the use of artificial intelligence in scientific and technological forecasting based on information technologies for decision support are considered. The novelty of the presented results lies in the fact that, for the first time, the authors describe the possibilities of using the most effective artificial intelligence technologies at various stages of the life cycle for the formation of scientific and technological forecasts from the standpoint of a systematic and integrated approach. Continue...
№ 4(100) 31 august 2022 year
Rubric: Algorithmic efficiency
Authors: Pestin M., Novikov A.

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Communication network simulators are software designed to model, explore, test and debug network technologies, including wireless decentralized self-organizing networks or ad-hoc networks. They greatly simplify the research, development and optimization of routing protocols in these networks. However, the well-known simulators have a number of disadvantages, including the difficulty of adding custom extensions to ad-hoc network routing protocols, the lack of the necessary network stack, the lack of routing algorithm visualization modes, low performance, and difficulty in debugging communication protocols. The purpose of this work is to create a simulation model of a wireless network that would allow us to explore, debug and evaluate the developed algorithms and routing protocols for ad-hoc networks. At the same time, the requirements for interface ergonomics and the ability to visualize the operation of algorithms, ensure the collection of statistics, and create various scenarios for the operation of the network come to the fore. The article proposes the structure of the simulation model, which includes the modules of the network subscriber, application software, network layer of the OSI data transmission model, radio module, radio transmission environment, statistics collection, visualization and scenario management. To solve the tasks set, the approach of discrete-event modeling was used. To create a simulator of wireless decentralized networks and routing algorithms, a set of classes was developed that implement the modules of the simulation model. Based on the proposed structure, module classes and discrete event simulation algorithm, a software implementation of the simulation model was created using the C++ programming language and the Qt framework. The developed simulation model was used in the course of an experimental study of the effectiveness of the network routing algorithm. The proposed software will simplify the development and debugging of algorithms and routing protocols for ad-hoc networks. Continue...
№ 4(100) 31 august 2022 year
Rubric: Educational environment
The author: Shkodina T.

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The article provides a rationale for the relevance of developing a recommender system in the field of e-learning. The main approaches to building a recommender system are analyzed: collaborative, content and hybrid filtering. The main objects of the recommender system for choosing online courses are presented: the student, training modules (online courses), elements of knowledge that the user can receive at the end of the training. In algorithmic support, methods for creating recommender systems, such as machine learning, neural networks, genetic algorithms, are considered. Problems in the methods of building recommender systems have been identified: sparseness; cold start; scalability; searching for elements that are most likely to be preferred by the user from a common set of elements. The main problem of recommender systems is to obtain an accurate and high-quality recommendation for the selection of educational objects in accordance with user preferences. It is concluded that it is necessary to build an architecture of a recommender system, including a model of an individual learning trajectory. Filtration of educational objects occurs with the help of a genetic algorithm. The expediency of using a microservice approach to create a web application is determined. The functional tasks of the developed system are highlighted, such as data collection, analysis of user requests, the formation of educational objects using an individual learning trajectory and the issuance of recommendations for choosing online courses. An algorithm for the functioning of the recommender system, a scheme for the operation of the recommender system, as well as information support for the operation of this system have been developed. A general approach to the development of a universal recommender system that can be integrated into the client's service is proposed. The purpose of developing a recommender system for choosing online courses is to provide students with the most appropriate learning objects (sequence of objects) to study in accordance with the characteristics of the student and fragments of knowledge (competencies). Continue...